Notable graduated players: Nyheim Hines, RB; Parris Campbell, WR; Rodrigo Blankenship, K. GM Chris Ballard hurt the Colts' short-term under-25 ranking with his ill-fated trade for Carson Wentz that cost the team its third-round pick in 2021 and first-round pick last April. His coverage rates were mediocre in his rookie season, but he allowed just 1.9 average yards after the catch, eighth best among safeties with 15 or more targets. Blue-chip players: Tristan Wirfs, OT; Devin White, LB; Antoine Winfield Jr., FS Blue-chip players: Ed Oliver, DT And while Thornton just missed a combine record with a 4.28-second 40 time, his skinny frame at 6-foot-3 and 182 pounds might limit his NFL role compared to subsequent receiver picks George Pickens, Alec Pierce and Skyy Moore. But then he injured his knee in Week 1 last season and has since drawn criticism for what some see as a lack of work ethic and dedication to his rehab. The receiver Wilson and his teammate Elijah Moore are undersized at 192 and 178 pounds, but they run remarkably sophisticated routes for a pair of 22-year-olds. Instead, they tried to replace the value of the marquee free-agent departures Terron Armstead and Marcus Williams with free-agent veterans on less expensive contracts and big bets on top draft picks Olave and Trevor Penning. However, there are some general principles that tend to translate to success. At a position with one of the most challenging NFL learning curves, Surtain was an above-average starter from day one and would have competed for Defensive Rookie of the Year honors but for Micah Parsons' historic rookie season. But unlike some previous hapless Detroit teams, Campbell's Lions offer a reason for optimism in their leap from the bottom 10 in under-25 talent in 2020 and 2021 to seventh this year. Football Outsiders has been tracking snap-weighted age (SWA) since 2006, calculating a team's age not by just averaging the ages of the players on the roster, but by weighting the age of each player by the number of snaps he played in the regular season. Notable graduated players: L'Jarius Sneed, CB; JuJu Smith-Schuster, WR; Ronald Jones, RB; Mike Hughes, CB; Rashad Fenton, CB; Justin Reid, S; Tommy Townsend, P. The Chiefs have made two notable efforts to inject some youth into their perennial final four roster the past two offseasons. Dexter Lawrence started his career with that high of promise, but his run stop rate has declined from 81% in 2019 to 77% in 2020 and 70% in 2021. The Chiefs are the young, up-and-coming team in the. Sixth-round rookie running back Elijah Mitchell earned a starting job over his more highly drafted teammate, Trey Sermon, and finished in the top 20 among regular running backs with a 5.7% rushing DVOA. That latter rate identifies Hurts as average in passing efficiency, and that is all the Eagles need from him if Hurts continues to contribute as much with his legs as he did in 2021. As his secondary teammates Davis, Murphy-Buntin and Richard Sherman took turns on injured reserve, free safety Winfield dramatically improved his coverage skills. And both receivers are still just 24. Notable graduated players: Denzel Ward, CB; Ronnie Harrison Jr., S. The Browns were the NFL predecessor to the "fish tank" Dolphins. The team traded away its first- and second-round draft picks for veteran receiver Davante Adams. Jerry Jeudy was a first-round pick in 2020. Notable graduated players: John Franklin-Myers, DT; D.J. Tagovailoa will likely always suffer from comparisons to the Pro Bowl quarterback taken one pick later in the 2020 draft, Herbert. They finished sixth and fifth in receiving DYAR in 2021. Colin Kaepernick has a message for NFL teams with QB still hoping to get signed at age 35 The former 49ers QB hasn't played in an NFL game since 2016. . Blue-chip players: Kyle Hamilton, S Without first- and second-round draft picks in 2022 and without first-, fourth- and fifth-round picks in 2023, the Rams might spend a few seasons in the under-25 basement. He may have been a third-round draft pick, but he was the second quarterback taken in 2022. In fact, the Bengals' top two 2022 draft picks, Dax Hill and Cam Taylor-Britt, have the versatility to play both cornerback and safety. They were 22 years old. It's safe to say that playoff success is imminent. And Ryan will have a pair of new, massive receiving targets in 6-foot-3 second-round receiver Alec Pierce and 6-foot-7 third-round tight end Jelani Woods. CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND His on-field play has been exceptional . NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF Of course, the Rams aren't your run-of-the-mill veteran team. Becton lived up to his No. It's also a big reason a Panthers team, whose results suggest it should be rebuilding, has slipped from 10th in last year's under-25 rankings to 16th this year. 1 / 32 Ronald Martinez // Getty Images #32. As the 20th overall draft selection, Pickett does not feel like the same transformative prospect that other recent Day 1 quarterbacks did. GM Les Snead has willfully traded away the bulk of his earliest picks for star veterans such as Jalen Ramsey and Matthew Stafford. Wills missed a bit of time in 2021 and has blown a few more pass blocks than expected. Fellow third-rounder Nico Collins has standout athletic tools for an NFL receiver and will hopefully make a future one-two punch with 2022 second-rounder John Metchie III, who unfortunately will miss his rookie season after a recent leukemia diagnosis. And while Burks was just the sixth receiver selected at 18th overall, he was the No. But the team has also suffered some bad luck with some of its most promising later draft picks. Tennessee Titans (Avg: 24.9, High: 20, Low: 29). 8 picks in the past two drafts. Reed, CB; Drew Lock, QB; Damien Lewis, G; Dee Eskridge, WR; Ugo Amadi, S; Rasheem Green, DE. And the team's top 2022 draft pick, Hamilton, more than makes up for his 4.59 speed with exceptional instincts. Wide receiver Chase Claypool dealt with ankle, hamstring and foot injuries in his sophomore season but still came within three catches and 13 yards of his exciting rookie campaign. McNally defined an era And while his single-digit totals of nine sacks each of the past two seasons keep him from increased national attention, Burns is one of just six defenders with 30 or more quarterback hits in 2020 and 2021. Notable graduated players: Christian Kirk, WR; DJ Chark, WR; Andrew Wingard, S. It's difficult to make a statistical case that Lawrence deserves his reputation as a generational quarterback prospect. He will need to turn things around to have the breakout many expected. After bulking up to 191 pounds this offseason, Dantzler should have a chance to start all season, a luxury he did not enjoy in 2021 under previous head coach Mike Zimmer. Fortunately for the competitive half of Adofo-Mensah's plan, the Vikings already hit on some recent premium draft picks, none more decisively than Jefferson. Notable graduated players: Drew Lock, QB; Dre'Mont Jones, DE. Blue-chip players: Ja'Marr Chase, WR; Tee Higgins, WR Ryan can rely on Pittman to convert on difficult third downs. St. Brown and his new outside counterpart, Williams, both are poised to outplay their draft positions, the latter even as a top-12 pick because tearing the ACL in his left knee in Alabama's most recent national title game cost him his presumed placement as the top receiver in the 2022 class. And while defensive efficiency is more volatile than offensive efficiency from year to year, the Cowboys have made smart bets to fill their free agent holes with more Day 1 and 2 draft picks such as left guard Tyler Smith, pass-rusher Sam Williams and receiver Jalen Tolbert. Freiermuth scored a touchdown on six of his 11 targets inside the 5-yard line, good for a 54.5% rate that was third best among tight ends with 10 or more such targets. And while he dramatically cut his total drops from 13 his rookie season to three last year, he missed six games in 2021 with an ankle injury and was arrested for misdemeanor domestic tampering this offseason, although the charges were eventually dropped. Toney can play both in the slot and out wide, and that versatility should help second-round rookie Wan'Dale Robinson make early contributions. He might be too small to survive a lead-back workload, but Singletary is an incredibly efficient player. Breaking down L.A. 's snap weight age positionally: QB, 30.6 - This number should go up in 2023. Sixth- and second-round safeties Jordan Fuller and Taylor Rapp started the bulk of the team's 2020 and 2021 games. Blue-chip players: Rashan Gary, OLB; Eric Stokes, CB He became the youngest person to sign as head coach for a team when he joined the Rams in 2017 as a 30-year . Notable graduated players: Uchenna Nwosu, OLB; D.J. The Falcons were well-positioned to bet on their quarterback of the future with the No. And they coupled their Hill replacement Skyy Moore with a trio of defensive selections that will aim to balance a team that has finished in the bottom third in defensive DVOA in four of Mahomes' five career seasons. The Titans' decision to trade star receiver Brown to the Eagles and replace him with a rookie is a big risk. He is a unicorn defensive player and a perfect fit for his former defensive coordinator and current head coach Todd Bowles' love of blitzes. And last draft, the team hit on its first two selections, Newsome and Owusu-Koramoah. After shedding veterans including Patrick Peterson, Dre Kirkpatrick and Robert Alford in recent offseasons, the Cardinals will rely on some prospects at corner. And while some of that fall was inevitable with defensive linemen Sweat and Payne turning 25, the Commanders saw several of their best young players take steps back last season. Jones ran a 4.41-second 40, so perhaps the Bears have a plan for the big-armed Fields after all. Sixth-round running back Khalil Herbert bested his underrated veteran teammate David Montgomery with a 16.2% versus a 14.6% broken tackle rate on his carries and catches. Metcalf is an established star receiver and was on pace to match his 19.5% receiving DVOA that ranked him 12th at his position in 2020 before Wilson returned too soon from his hand injury in 2021. But he already made the top 10 at his position with a 2.4% completion percentage over expectation in his rookie season. Toney managed just 301 offensive snaps in an injury-altered rookie season. Perhaps the Browns could have continued a sustainable rebuild if they had nailed the Mayfield pick or seen quicker development from their Day 2 and Day 3 skill-player picks such as Donovan Peoples-Jones, Anthony Schwartz and Harrison Bryant. Lance maintains his blue-chip status because of that pedigree. 2.23 years on average * 53 players = A difference . Age: 24. . Thanks to various quarterback trades, Fields is the only first-round pick the Bears have made in the past four drafts. They consider the value and length of player contracts, and so they view less experienced players as more valuable than more experienced players with similar expected future contributions since the former probably will make more of those contributions on inexpensive rookie contracts. Taylor produced the fourth-most rushing DYAR (511) in the history of Football Outsiders stats, which go back to 1981. Notable graduated players: Fred Warner, LB; Dre Greenlaw, LB; Azeez Al-Shaair, LB. Next up, the Eagles have their eyes on some defensive improvements. Even rookie receiver London deserves blue-chip consideration. . And while safety Xavier McKinney racked up impressive totals of 93 tackles, 10 passes defensed and five interceptions, he provided more modest coverage efficiencies with 6.4 yards per target and a 47% coverage success rate, both outside the top 25 of players at his position. Blue-chip players: Jalen Thompson, S Hurts easily led his position with 189 rushing DYAR and 10 rushing touchdowns in his sophomore season. Blue-chip players: Justin Fields, QB First-round picks from the same class, Henry Ruggs III and Damon Arnette, were released as well, but for off-field issues. And Harris broke 87 tackles in his rookie season, 21 more than even Jonathan Taylor in second place at the position. His minus-8.5% and minus-0.7% passing DVOA rates have him on a similar early-career trajectory as recent star quarterbacks Burrow (minus-7.3% and 5.1%), Kyler Murray (minus-3.1% and 4.6%) and Andrew Luck (minus-5.1% and 4.6%). Oliver duplicated his total of 20 hurries from 2020 in 2021 and this time balanced them with an 83% run stop rate that was seventh best at his position. Houston Texans - Year founded: 2002 - Overall record: 124-156- Prior to the birth of the Texans, the Tennessee Titans franchise (formerly known as the Oilers) called Houston home. But as long as Aaron Donald doesn't retire, expect to see a veteran Rams roster in several more January games. In addition to stacking teams, we mention "blue-chip players," who are cornerstone performers from whom teams will likely derive their biggest future value. A lot has changed since the end of the 2020 season, when Watson led the league in passing yards (4,823). Last year's rate was tied for sixth best among left tackles with 300 or more run snaps. Running back Antonio Gibson broke one fewer tackle on 94 more touches than he had in his rookie season, and he dropped five more fumbles. With 9.5 sacks in his third season, Gary missed on the acclaim that comes from a double-digit total. Notable graduated players: DJ Moore, WR; Sam Darnold, QB; Frankie Luvu, OLB; Brady Christensen, OT; Myles Hartsfield, S. The Panthers opted not to draft a new potential franchise quarterback to replace Cam Newton and instead have cycled through myriad midtier veteran quarterbacks the past few seasons. Thibodeaux and Neal were both legitimate candidates for the No. I also looked at how many positional players (excluding QBs) are at least 30 years old on every team. And Julian Blackmon should reclaim his starting free safety role after a Week 6 Achilles tear ended his sophomore season prematurely. But the No. Patrick Queen's 29.1% broken tackle rate was the second highest of regular linebackers in 2021. But however that situation plays out, the team does have some secondary prospects for under-25 consideration. And while top 2019 pick Josh Jacobs finished fourth among running backs with 150 or more carries with a 19.4% rushing broken tackle rate last season, the new Raiders front office still declined to pick up Jacobs' fifth-year option, a decision that challenges the wisdom of drafting any running back in the first round. But he also led interior linebackers with 54 hurries last season. The Chargers may not have the Cowboys' depth of young talent, but they have the best under-25 players at two of the most important positions in football.
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